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Global Powers Battle for Eritrea’s Strategic Red Sea Base
Strategic Prize: Why Eritrea’s Assab Base Holds the Key to Red Sea Dominance

In February 2021, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) withdrew from its Assab Naval and Air Force Base in Eritrea, ending a significant military presence in the Horn of Africa. For years, the base served as a crucial logistics hub for the UAE’s intervention in Yemen, allowing rapid deployment of troops and supplies to counter the Iran-backed Houthi rebels.
Now, four years later, the question of who will take over this highly strategic base remains unanswered. However, with growing instability in the Middle East and Africa, the world’s major powers are eyeing the site, each with its own geopolitical motivations.
Assab’s value is undeniable. Located near the Bab el-Mandeb Strait—a chokepoint for nearly 10% of global maritime trade—the base provides access to both the Red Sea and the Indian Ocean. Control over Assab would not only enhance military capabilities in the region but also allow its operator to influence key shipping routes, oversee African security developments, and counter regional adversaries.
The global contest for military dominance in the region has intensified, and Eritrea now finds itself at the center of a high-stakes power struggle.
Russia’s Mediterranean Setback and the Search for a New Base
Russia’s naval presence in the Red Sea has long been limited, but recent events may force Moscow to reconsider its priorities. In early December, the long-standing regime of Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad collapsed, with Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) seizing control of the country. Assad’s Russian backers retreated to their Mediterranean naval base in Tartus, hoping to maintain a foothold in the region. However, Syria’s new leadership wasted no time in revoking Russia’s 49-year lease on the port, throwing Russia’s future in the Eastern Mediterranean into doubt.
The situation rapidly deteriorated when Russian military cargo ships, which had been loitering offshore for weeks, began loading up military equipment for evacuation. A stockpile of high-value assets—including advanced S-400 air defense systems—was staged for departure, fueling speculation that Russia was losing its last stronghold in Syria. With its presence in the Mediterranean at risk, Moscow is likely searching for a new base to anchor its naval power.
Eritrea’s Assab base presents an attractive alternative. It would provide Russia with direct access to the Red Sea and Indian Ocean, enabling it to maintain regional influence despite its setbacks in Syria. Moscow has previously explored options in the Horn of Africa, with reports indicating interest in securing port access in both Eritrea and Sudan. However, Eritrea’s long-standing resistance to foreign bases could complicate any Russian ambitions in Assab.
Israel’s Strategic Dilemma in the Red Sea
For Israel, securing a foothold in Assab would serve a dual purpose: countering Iran’s influence in Yemen and protecting its maritime interests in the Red Sea. The ongoing Israel-Gaza war has escalated tensions across the region, with the Iran-backed Houthis launching a series of missile and drone strikes on Israeli-linked vessels in the Red Sea. The Houthis claim their missiles can reach as far as Eritrea, raising concerns in Tel Aviv about the vulnerability of shipping lanes critical to Israel’s economy.
There have long been reports of Israeli military installations in Eritrea, particularly in the form of intelligence-gathering sites used to monitor regional adversaries. If Israel were to establish a formal naval presence in Assab, it could dramatically enhance its ability to deter Houthi attacks and disrupt Iranian arms shipments to Yemen. However, such a move would likely provoke a strong response from Tehran and its allies, further escalating an already volatile situation.
Iran’s Bid for a Strategic Foothold
Iran has aggressively expanded its influence in the Red Sea over the past decade, largely through its support for the Houthi rebels in Yemen. With Eritrea’s close proximity to Yemen, securing access to Assab would provide Iran with a forward operating base, allowing it to streamline weapons shipments and logistical support for its allies.
Recent reports suggest that Iran has already been using commercial vessels and shadow fleets to smuggle arms to Yemen via Red Sea routes. A base in Eritrea would significantly improve Iran’s ability to project power in the region and threaten Saudi, Emirati, and Israeli interests. Such a development would also complicate Western efforts to secure Red Sea shipping routes, potentially prompting an increase in U.S. and NATO naval deployments in response.
However, Iran faces significant hurdles in securing Assab. Eritrea has historically maintained cautious relations with Tehran and has leaned more towards Gulf Arab states in past diplomatic engagements. Moreover, any Iranian presence in Eritrea would likely trigger immediate military countermeasures from Israel and its regional allies.
China’s Expanding African Footprint
China’s military and economic expansion in Africa has been relentless. In 2017, Beijing established its first overseas military base in Djibouti, just a short distance from Assab. Officially, the base was built to support China’s anti-piracy efforts and protect its vast investments across Africa. However, its strategic implications are undeniable—China now has a permanent military presence near one of the world’s most critical shipping lanes.
Eritrea, already benefiting from significant Chinese investment, could be the next piece in Beijing’s regional puzzle. With its extensive infrastructure projects and financial leverage, China could negotiate favorable terms to secure a presence in Assab, further consolidating its influence in the Red Sea. A second base in the region would provide China with increased flexibility for military operations, intelligence gathering, and power projection across the Indian Ocean.
However, Eritrea’s leadership has historically been wary of foreign military bases, preferring to engage in economic partnerships rather than security arrangements. Whether Asmara would agree to a Chinese naval presence remains uncertain.
The U.S. and NATO’s Interests in the Region
The United States already maintains a significant presence in the Red Sea through its base in Djibouti, home to Camp Lemonnier. The base serves as a critical hub for counterterrorism operations and regional security efforts. Given the rising instability in the Red Sea, Washington may see Assab as a valuable strategic asset to prevent adversarial powers from gaining control.
A NATO presence in Assab would strengthen Western control over Red Sea security and maritime traffic, ensuring that neither China nor Russia gains an advantage in the region. However, Eritrea’s longstanding isolationist policies and strained relations with the West make such a scenario unlikely.
Eritrea’s Calculated Neutrality
Eritrea’s President Isaias Afwerki has spent decades carefully balancing his country’s relationships with global powers. Asmara has consistently rejected permanent foreign military bases on its soil, preferring instead to maintain neutrality while leveraging its strategic position for economic and diplomatic gain.
The fate of the Assab base will ultimately depend on Eritrea’s willingness to break with its policy of non-alignment. Leasing the base could bring financial and security benefits, but it would also risk entangling Eritrea in regional conflicts and global rivalries. The decision will shape the future of Red Sea security and determine which global power will gain the next strategic foothold in one of the world’s most contested waterways.
Conclusion
The Red Sea remains a key battleground in the shifting global power struggle. With Russia losing its Mediterranean base, Israel seeking to counter Houthi threats, Iran looking to expand its influence, China deepening its military presence, and Western powers maneuvering for control, Assab has become a prize that could tip the balance of power in the region.
Whether Eritrea allows a new tenant or maintains its policy of neutrality, the world will be watching closely.
Business
DHL Halts High-Value U.S. Shipments, Shaking Global Trade and Luxury Brands
DHL suspends high-value B2C shipments to U.S., disrupting global trade and luxury exports significantly

Global logistics leader DHL has announced a temporary suspension of business-to-consumer (B2C) shipments to the United States for packages valued over $800. This decision, effective from April 21, 2025, comes in response to recent changes in U.S. customs regulations that have significantly increased the complexity and processing time for higher-value imports.
The U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) recently lowered the threshold for mandatory formal entry processing from $2,500 to $800, effective April 5. This change requires more detailed documentation for shipments exceeding the new threshold, leading to substantial delays and increased workload for customs clearance processes. DHL cited these challenges as the primary reason for the suspension, stating that the surge in formal customs clearances has overwhelmed their systems, causing multi-day transit delays for affected shipments .
While B2C shipments over $800 are suspended, business-to-business (B2B) shipments of similar value will continue, albeit with potential delays due to the heightened scrutiny and paperwork requirements. Shipments valued under $800 remain unaffected by this suspension.
The suspension has sent ripples through international markets, particularly affecting exporters who rely heavily on U.S. consumers. British luxury brands, for instance, have expressed significant concern. Companies like Joseph Cheaney & Sons and Sabina Savage, which derive a substantial portion of their sales from the U.S., are facing logistical nightmares. Sabina Savage noted that 90% of her customers are based in the U.S., and the suspension has led to additional costs and challenges in fulfilling orders .
Trade bodies have also voiced their apprehensions. Walpole, representing British luxury brands including Burberry and Alexander McQueen, highlighted that their members are being “doubly penalised”—unable to deliver goods and subjected to a 10% tariff on those that do get through. Helen Brocklebank, Walpole’s chief executive, emphasized the financial strain this places on businesses that have built long-standing relationships with DHL and now face the daunting task of finding alternative logistics providers .
The suspension is part of a broader context of escalating trade tensions. President Donald Trump’s administration has implemented a series of tariffs aimed at reducing trade deficits, notably imposing a 145% tariff on Chinese goods. In retaliation, China has enacted a 125% tariff on U.S. products. These measures have disrupted global supply chains and increased costs for businesses and consumers alike .
Analysts warn that the growing bureaucratic strain could disrupt global e-commerce and supply chains, raising costs for U.S. consumers. The rollback of the “de minimis” exemption, which previously allowed low-cost imports to bypass duties and inspections, is expected to further impact companies that rely on shipping low-cost goods to the U.S., such as Shein and Temu .
DHL has emphasized that the suspension is a temporary measure and that they are working diligently to manage the increased workload caused by the new customs regulations. The company has not provided a specific timeline for when the suspension will be lifted but has promised to share updates as the situation evolves .
In the meantime, businesses affected by the suspension are exploring alternative logistics providers, though many have expressed concerns about the costs and complexities involved in transitioning from established relationships with DHL. The situation underscores the broader economic fallout of recent trade policy changes, affecting both exporters and American consumers of international goods. As the global trade landscape continues to evolve, businesses and consumers alike will need to adapt to the changing regulatory environment and its implications for international commerce.
Featured
The World Mourns the Passing of Pope Francis, a Pontiff for the People
Pope Francis dies at 88, remembered for humility, reform, and global moral leadership

Pope Francis, the 266th Pope of the Roman Catholic Church and the first Jesuit and Latin American Pontiff, passed away on Monday, April 21, 2025, at the age of 88. The Vatican announced his death in an official statement early this morning, stating that he died peacefully at the Vatican’s Mater Ecclesiae Monastery, where he had been living due to ongoing health issues.
The cause of death has been attributed to complications arising from his chronic respiratory illness and age-related health deterioration. Pope Francis, born Jorge Mario Bergoglio in Buenos Aires, Argentina, in 1936, had been battling a range of health concerns over recent years, including knee problems and colon surgery in 2021, which had limited his mobility and public appearances.
“With profound sorrow, we announce the passing of His Holiness Pope Francis, a shepherd of compassion, humility, and unyielding commitment to the poor and the marginalized. His legacy will continue to inspire millions across the globe.” Elected in March 2013 following the historic resignation of Pope Benedict XVI, Pope Francis brought a new tone to the papacy. Known for his humility and informal style, he eschewed many traditional papal luxuries, choosing to live in a guesthouse rather than the Apostolic Palace and often traveling in a modest Fiat rather than a luxury vehicle.
His papacy was marked by efforts to modernize the Church’s image and make it more inclusive. He took unprecedented steps toward addressing sexual abuse scandals, although critics argue more structural reform was needed. He also spoke out strongly on climate change, social justice, economic inequality, and migration issues.
Perhaps his most enduring legacy will be his attempts to open the Church’s doors to previously marginalized groups, famously saying, “Who am I to judge?” in reference to gay Catholics. He also sought interfaith dialogue, visiting Muslim-majority countries and fostering relations with Judaism, Islam, and other faiths.
World leaders, religious figures, and millions of Catholics across the world have expressed deep sadness at his passing. U.S. President Kamala Harris issued a statement saying, “Pope Francis was a beacon of hope and humanity. He brought moral clarity to complex issues and reminded us all of the power of compassion.”
German Chancellor Annalena Baerbock, Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, and UN Secretary-General António Guterres all offered tributes, highlighting his diplomatic efforts and moral leadership. The bells of St. Peter’s Basilica tolled mournfully today as thousands gathered in Vatican City, laying flowers, lighting candles, and offering prayers. Cardinal Jean-Louis Tagle of the Philippines, seen as one of Francis’s closest allies, said in a press conference, *l“He showed us what it means to be Christ-like in the modern world—humble, courageous, and full of love.”
With the Pope’s death, the papal seat—known as the “Holy See”—is now officially vacant, a state referred to as sede vacante (Latin for “the seat being vacant”). The Vatican has lowered all its flags to half-mast and will observe a traditional nine-day mourning period known as the Novemdiales, during which daily masses will be held in his honor.
The Dean of the College of Cardinals, currently Cardinal Giovanni Battista Re, will soon call for a conclave—a secretive gathering of cardinals under the age of 80—who will convene in the Sistine Chapel to elect a new Pope. This process, shrouded in centuries-old ritual and secrecy, could take days or even weeks depending on consensus.
Until a new Pope is elected, the Camerlengo, currently Cardinal Kevin Farrell, will administer the Vatican’s day-to-day affairs. Observers are already speculating on who might succeed Pope Francis. Potential candidates include Cardinal Tagle of the Philippines, Cardinal Péter Erdő of Hungary, and Cardinal Matteo Zuppi of Italy. The next Pope will inherit not only a deeply spiritual office but also a Church wrestling with issues of relevance, reform, and unity in an increasingly secular and polarized world.
Pope Francis leaves behind a complex yet compelling legacy. He was a man of paradoxes—traditional in doctrine yet progressive in tone, humble in demeanor yet commanding global attention. Under his leadership, the Catholic Church became more visibly engaged in global discourse on climate, migration, and poverty, even as it grappled with internal crises.
Though some conservatives within the Church viewed his reforms as too progressive, others saw them as essential steps toward making the Church more relevant in the 21st century. His writings, including Laudato Si’ l on the environment and Fratelli Tutti on human fraternity, are expected to shape Catholic thought and moral philosophy for decades to come. As millions mourn his passing, Pope Francis’s memory is sure to live on—in his words, his deeds, and the profound human touch he brought to the papacy. The world now turns its eyes toward the Vatican once more, as the Church prepares to elect a new spiritual leader to carry forward the torch of faith, compassion, and reform that Pope Francis so bravely reignited.
Featured
Pope Francis and the Olive Branch Between Gaza and Jews
Pope Francis championed peace, uniting Gaza’s suffering with Jewish outreach in daily compassion

Pope Francis, who passed away on April 21, 2025, at the age of 88, leaves behind a legacy defined by humility, courage, and a relentless devotion to peace. For many of us observing the ongoing crises in the Middle East, his presence felt like a rare moral compass—one willing to speak hard truths while remaining deeply grounded in compassion. His daily calls to Gaza, his condemnation of violence in all its forms, and his unwavering stance against antisemitism shaped a papacy that will be remembered not only for reform within the Catholic Church, but for moral clarity during one of the most polarising times in modern history.
In the early days of the Israel-Gaza conflict that erupted on October 7, 2023, Pope Francis chose not to sit in silence. Instead, he began calling the Holy Family Church in Gaza—Gaza’s only Catholic parish—every single day. Sometimes via WhatsApp, sometimes through brief voice calls, he reached out directly to Father Gabriel Romanelli and the 600 people sheltering within the church walls. This continued even as his own health deteriorated. Whether from his room at Casa Santa Marta or hospital recovery, his voice remained consistent: protect the children, help the civilians, seek peace.
I found it remarkable that while global leaders offered platitudes or picked sides, Pope Francis stuck to a simple but radical message—“End the violence. Let humanitarian aid reach the people. Release the hostages. And most of all, stop the killing.” He referred to the killing of two Palestinian Christian women in Gaza by an Israeli sniper as an act of “terrorism,” refusing to dilute the truth behind politically correct language.
His commitment to the people of Gaza was not a departure from Catholic teaching but a continuation of the same inclusive philosophy that defined his entire papacy. Critics often tried to frame his positions as controversial, but he never wavered. During his final Easter message, he again implored for a ceasefire in Gaza and the delivery of aid to the starving population, treating both Israelis and Palestinians with equal human dignity. That clarity—recognising the suffering on both sides while calling for justice—was Francis at his best.
And yet, this same Pope who stood by Gaza was equally vocal against antisemitism, a balance many today fail to navigate. He repeatedly denounced the resurgence of antisemitism in Europe and elsewhere, calling it a “sin against God.” He firmly upheld the reforms of Vatican II, embraced the Jewish people as “elder brothers” in faith, and made interfaith dialogue a central mission of his pontificate. During his visit to Auschwitz in 2016, Francis walked in silent prayer for over 15 minutes—speaking louder in that silence than many ever could with words.
Throughout his papacy, Pope Francis demonstrated that standing up for Palestinians didn’t require abandoning the fight against antisemitism. For him, moral consistency wasn’t optional; it was essential. He rejected extremism of all forms, condemned both Hamas’s attacks and Israel’s excessive use of force, and navigated these crises with empathy, not ideology.
In today’s climate, where statements are instantly politicised and leaders are quick to equivocate, Pope Francis chose the narrow road. He called out suffering when he saw it, whether in Gaza, Ukraine, or the camps of Myanmar’s Rohingya. His friendship with Jewish leaders and commitment to remembering the horrors of the Holocaust never conflicted with his urgent calls to help the oppressed in Gaza. That rare ability to hold empathy for both sides—without becoming paralysed by it—is what made him such a unique figure.
Pope Francis died as he lived: in service to the margins. His last recorded words to Father Romanelli in Gaza echoed a theme that defined his life: “Do not lose hope. The Lord is with you.”
As a journalist and editor who has covered the politics and conflicts of the Middle East for many years, I rarely find myself moved by the words of any leader. But Francis was different. He didn’t just speak to the world; he listened to it. And for those trapped in the chaos of Gaza, hearing his voice each evening—quiet, unwavering—was enough to keep hope alive another day.
He wasn’t the pope of one people. He was the pope of the suffering. And in this fractured world, that may be the holiest legacy of all.
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